Market Development and Efficiency in Emerging Stock Markets

نویسنده

  • Kamil Yilmaz
چکیده

In 1990’s emerging stock markets evolved from small, shallow, speculative markets into sizeable and liquid markets. If there is any relationship between market development and efficiency, it must show up in market efficiency tests over time. This conjecture is analyzed empirically, applying joint variance ratio (VR) test on weekly real Wednesday and Friday returns for 18 emerging stock markets over the 1988-98 period. For each country, we apply the joint VR test to sub-sample windows with end-point fixed while starting-point is allowed to move forward. In those markets that showed rapid development, it becomes rather difficult to reject the random walk hypothesis as observations pertaining to earlier periods are dropped from the sample. JEL classification: G14, G15.

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تاریخ انتشار 1999